Friday, October 12, 2007

Week 7 Picks

Its a week of home dogs in the SEC, as Arkansas is the only home team favored.

Alabama (-6.5) @ Mississippi 12:30 PM ET
Ole' Miss actually plays a lot better at home than on the road, most recently giving UF a scare and blanking La Tech, 24-0. After starting the season strong, 'Bama is just 1-2 in its last three, losing to Georgia at home and FSU in Jacksonville. Look for Mississippi to come up with the big win that has been eluding them.
Mississippi 20 Alabama 17

#25 Tennessee (-7) @ Mississippi State 2:30 PM ET
Quite frankly I have no idea how MSU wins games, but I expect it to stop with UT, West Virginia, and Kentucky coming up on the schedule. The Mississippi St. QB situation is a complete mess, true freshman Wesley Carroll gets his first start, with Michael Henig expected to play, neither of whom inspires any confidence at all. Tennessee may be extremely inconsistent and the MSU defense is not bad, but this should still be a cakewalk for the Volunteers.
Tennessee 28 Mississippi State 10

#1 LSU (-9.5) @ #17 Kentucky 3:30 PM ET
Kentucky really struggled blocking South Carolina last week, leading to two Andre Woodson fumbles that were returned for touchdowns. If they thought that was tough, they can get ready for a fun Saturday afternoon trying to block Glenn Dorsey, Ty Jackson and company. Look for at least one defensive touchdown, as LSU continues to roll along towards a potential rematch with either USC or Florida in the SEC Championship.
LSU 31 Kentucky 13

#7 South Carolina (-7.5) @ North Carolina 3:30 PM ET
An awkward mid-season non-conference game pits the fast rising Gamecocks against a UNC team that has played better in recent weeks, knocking off the U last week and playing Va. Tech close on the road two weeks ago. USC comes into the game averaging only 229 pass yards/game and North Carolina can't run the ball at all, not a recipe for success for Butch Davis' squad. A program on the rise the Tar Heels will be a more formidable foe in a few years, for right now though, expect South Carolina to win fairly easily.
South Carolina 27 North Carolina 10

#24 Georgia (-7) @ Vanderbilt 6:00 PM ET
Chris Nickson's continued failure in big games has left Vandy's QB situation in doubt. Coach Bobby Johnson will make a gametime decision between Nickson and backup Mackenzi Adams. Whoever starts the Commodore defense will have to be much better than it has been. Georgia looks to rebound from an embarassing 35-14 demolition in Knoxville last week, that really wasn't even that close. Expect the Bulldogs to come out firing angry about both last weeks loss and being picked as homecoming opponents.
Georgia 34 Vanderbilt 14

#22 Auburn @ Arkansas (-3) 7:45 PM ET
Auburn has really played pretty well so far this season, the loss at home to Mississippi St. not withstanding, and even better the last few weeks. Recently everything has been clicking,the running game has been rolling with the return of Brad Lester and the continuing good work of Ben Tate. Same story in Fayetteville, McFadden and Jones, Jones and McFadden as the country's most one-dimensional offense will struggle to put points on the board against Auburns fast defense. Brandon Cox has played three very efficient games in a row and the Tigers look to be heading towards a showdown with LSU next weekend that will decide the SEC West.
Auburn 24 Arkansas 17

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