Friday, October 26, 2007

Week 9 Picks

Last week started out looking like I was going to miss all the games, but a late comeback left me at 3-3, and 2-4 against the spread thanks to two meaningless Mississippi St. td's that led to them covering by half a point, but still losing by 25.

Mississippi State @ Kentucky (-14) 12:30 PM ET
For better or worse MSU seems content to let true freshman Wesley Carroll develop as a starter. On the other side UK has a proven Sr. quarterback and Heisman contender in Andre' Woodson, and the Wildcats are through the tough portion of their schedule and look to keep their slim hopes of an SEC East championship alive.
Kentucky 35 Mississippi St. 13

Florida International @ Arkansas (-41) 2:00 PM ET
Arkansas finally got going last week during 44-8 romp in Oxford. Felix Jones and Darren McFadden combined for 211 yards on 37 carries against the Rebels and they look to continue their success against the winless Golden Panthers. FIU actually kept it close at the U, but also lost by 41 to MTSU, so who knows what they will do.
Arkansas 55 Florida International 10

Miami (OH) @ Vanderbilt (-13.5) 2:00 PM ET
You will never find a game with teams that had more different performances last week. The Commodores are coming off maybe the biggest win in school history and can't afford a letdown. The RedHawks just lost to Temple, enough said.
Vanderbilt 30 Miami (OH) 10

Florida (-7.5) vs. Georgia @ Jacksonville 3:30 PM ET
After beating Kentucky last week, the Gators now control their own destiny in the east, and if they win out a spot in the National Championship is not impossible. Georgia is a team headed in the opposite direction, in their last two games they got blown out at UT and barely escaped Nashville in a game they should have lost. Matthew Stafford has shown very little improvement this year, with only the Alabama game showing any real promise.
Florida 27 Georgia 13

Mississippi @ Auburn (-18) 6:00 PM ET
I keep expecting Ole' Miss' great recruiting classes to show up on Saturdays, but week after week they disappoint. As good as Auburn's defense is, their offense can struggle at times. Don't expect the game to ever be in doubt, but I don't see Auburn covering the high spread.
Auburn 23 Mississippi 10

South Carolina @ Tennessee (-2.5) 7:45 PM ET
How UT could be favored after last week debacle is amazing and speaks to how much respect you lose by losing at home to Vandy. One week after being #6 in the country, USC is now underdogs to a team that lost by 24 a week ago. Apparently Steve Spurriers rant about how overrated his team was swayed some people, but now they are a little underrated. The Gamecock defense remains one of the best in the SEC and UT's is one of the worst.
South Carolina 17 Tennessee 10

Overall:
7-5 Straight Up
5-7 Against the Spread

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